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Hedge

A free, open, auditable database of US political polls — served from Supabase, deployed on Vercel, built on CC BY 4.0 sources.

2026 election polling averages

19 races polled · D leads 10 · R leads 3

Click a state for the full race page.

Alaska — Senate: D+1.7Alabama — Senate: R+15.0 (limited polling)Arkansas — Senate: R+16.3 (limited polling)Arizona — no Senate raceCalifornia — no Senate raceColorado — no Senate raceConnecticut — no Senate raceDistrict of Columbia — no Senate raceDelaware — no Senate raceFlorida — Senate: R+4.0Georgia — Senate: D+8.0Hawaii — no Senate raceIowa — Senate: R+0.7Idaho — no Senate raceIllinois — no Senate raceIndiana — no Senate raceKansas — Senate: D+1.7 (limited polling)Kentucky — no Senate raceLouisiana — no Senate raceMassachusetts — Senate: D+20.2Maryland — no Senate raceMaine — Senate: D+2.7Michigan — Senate: D+1.8Minnesota — Senate: D+2.7Missouri — no Senate raceMississippi — Senate: R+5.7 (limited polling)Montana — Senate: R+18.3North Carolina — Senate: D+9.3North Dakota — no Senate raceNebraska — no Senate raceNew Hampshire — Senate: D+4.4New Jersey — no Senate raceNew Mexico — no Senate raceNevada — no Senate raceNew York — no Senate raceOhio — Senate: D+3.9Oklahoma — no Senate raceOregon — no Senate racePennsylvania — no Senate raceRhode Island — Senate: D+19.5 (limited polling)South Carolina — no Senate raceSouth Dakota — no Senate raceTennessee — no Senate raceTexas — Senate: D+2.8Utah — no Senate raceVirginia — Senate: D+16.4 (limited polling)Vermont — no Senate raceWashington — no Senate raceWisconsin — no Senate raceWest Virginia — no Senate raceWyoming — no Senate race

Key races

The closest polling averages of the 2026 cycle.

Ohio GovernorActon (D) 47.5 vs Ramaswamy (R) 47.3D+0.2 · Toss-upavg grade 2.5 / 3.0✓ nominees setIowa SenateTurek (D) 44.7 vs Hinson (R) 45.4R+0.7 · Toss-upavg grade 2.6 / 3.0✓ nominees setFlorida GovernorJolly (D) 43.1 vs Donalds (R) 43.8R+0.7 · Toss-upavg grade 1.9 / 3.0Alaska SenatePeltola (D) 49.7 vs Sullivan (R) 48.0D+1.7 · Toss-upavg grade 1.8 / 3.0Nevada GovernorFord (D) 43.7 vs Lombardo (R) 42.0D+1.7 · Toss-upavg grade 2.9 / 3.0✓ nominees setMichigan SenateEl-Sayed (D) 46.3 vs Rogers (R) 44.5D+1.8 · Toss-upavg grade 2.0 / 3.0✓ nominees setGeorgia GovernorBottoms (D) 47.3 vs Jackson (R) 45.0D+2.4 · Toss-upavg grade 1.9 / 3.0✓ nominees setMaine SenatePlatner (D) 47.8 vs Collins (R) 45.1D+2.7 · Toss-upavg grade 2.3 / 3.0✓ nominees set

2 more races are close but lightly polled.

Approval tracker

Net −17.4

39.8% approve · 57.2% disapprove · as of Aug 24, 2026 · 426 polls in window

35%40%45%50%55%60%Apr ’25Jul ’25Oct ’25Jan ’26Apr ’26Jul ’26
Polls
5,646
Pollsters
200
Cost to run
$0–25/mo

Generic congressional ballot

D+5.5

44.6% Dem · 39.1% Rep · as of Sep 8, 2026 · 90 polls in window

35%40%45%50%55%Apr ’25Jul ’25Oct ’25Jan ’26Apr ’26Jul ’26

Pollster registry (rated)

PollsterGradePOLLSCORE
SurveyUSA2.8-1.3
YouGov3-1.1
Zogby Analytics1.20.7
Public Policy Polling1.40
SurveyMonkey20.2
American Research Group2.3-0.2
Quinnipiac University2.8-0.5
Ipsos2.8-0.9
Emerson College2.9-1.1
Marist College2.9-0.9
InsiderAdvantage2-0.3
Kaplan Strategies2-0.9
Monmouth University Polling Institute2.9-0.9
Trafalgar Group0.70.6
Change Research1.40.6