Hedge

Hedge

A free, open, auditable database of US political polls — served from Supabase, deployed on Vercel, built on CC BY 4.0 sources.

Election Day · Nov 3Poll closings, final averages and official results links, state by state →

2026 election polling averages

19 races polled · D leads 12 · R leads 6

Click a state for the full race page.

Alaska — Senate: D+1.4Alabama — Senate: R+15.6Arkansas — Senate: R+12.8Arizona — no Senate raceCalifornia — no Senate raceColorado — no Senate raceConnecticut — no Senate raceDistrict of Columbia — no Senate raceDelaware — no Senate raceFlorida — Senate: R+5.5Georgia — Senate: D+8.6Hawaii — no Senate raceIowa — Senate: R+0.1Idaho — no Senate raceIllinois — no Senate raceIndiana — no Senate raceKansas — Senate: D+4.2Kentucky — no Senate raceLouisiana — no Senate raceMassachusetts — Senate: D+24.6Maryland — no Senate raceMaine — Senate: D+2.7Michigan — Senate: D+3.7Minnesota — Senate: D+3.1Missouri — no Senate raceMississippi — Senate: R+4.7Montana — Senate: R+17.8North Carolina — Senate: D+10.7North Dakota — no Senate raceNebraska — no Senate raceNew Hampshire — Senate: D+7.1New Jersey — no Senate raceNew Mexico — no Senate raceNevada — no Senate raceNew York — no Senate raceOhio — Senate: D+3.8Oklahoma — no Senate raceOregon — no Senate racePennsylvania — no Senate raceRhode Island — Senate: D+24.8South Carolina — no Senate raceSouth Dakota — no Senate raceTennessee — no Senate raceTexas — Senate: D+2.7Utah — no Senate raceVirginia — Senate: D+16.4 (limited polling)Vermont — no Senate raceWashington — no Senate raceWisconsin — no Senate raceWest Virginia — no Senate raceWyoming — no Senate race

Key races

The closest polling averages of the 2026 cycle.

Iowa SenateTurek (D) 45.9 vs Hinson (R) 46.0R+0.1 · Toss-upavg grade 2.4 / 3.0✓ nominees setGeorgia GovernorBottoms (D) 47.6 vs Jackson (R) 48.2R+0.6 · Toss-upavg grade 2.0 / 3.0✓ nominees setOregon GovernorKotek (D) 45.2 vs Drazan (R) 44.2D+0.9 · Toss-upavg grade 2.1 / 3.0✓ nominees setVermont GovernorJanoo (D) 46.8 vs Scott (R) 45.4D+1.4 · Toss-upavg grade 2.4 / 3.0Alaska SenatePeltola (D) 49.1 vs Sullivan (R) 47.6D+1.4 · Toss-upavg grade 2.1 / 3.0Nevada GovernorFord (D) 44.4 vs Lombardo (R) 42.3D+2.0 · Toss-upavg grade 2.6 / 3.0✓ nominees setTexas SenateTalarico (D) 48.5 vs Paxton (R) 45.8D+2.7 · Toss-upavg grade 2.4 / 3.0✓ nominees setMaine SenatePlatner (D) 47.8 vs Collins (R) 45.1D+2.7 · Toss-upavg grade 2.3 / 3.0✓ nominees set

Approval tracker

Net −18.3

39.5% approve · 57.7% disapprove · as of Oct 6, 2026 · 363 polls in window

35%40%45%50%55%60%Apr ’25Jul ’25Oct ’25Jan ’26Apr ’26Jul ’26Oct ’26
Polls
6,129
Pollsters
222
Cost to run
$0–25/mo

Generic congressional ballot

D+7.1

47.6% Dem · 40.5% Rep · as of Nov 2, 2026 · 13 polls in window

35%40%45%50%55%Apr ’25Jul ’25Oct ’25Jan ’26Apr ’26Jul ’26Oct ’26

Pollster registry (rated)

PollsterGradePOLLSCORE
SurveyUSA2.8-1.3
Zogby Analytics1.20.7
YouGov3-1.1
Public Policy Polling1.40
SurveyMonkey20.2
American Research Group2.3-0.2
Quinnipiac University2.8-0.5
Ipsos2.8-0.9
Emerson College2.9-1.1
Marist College2.9-0.9
InsiderAdvantage2-0.3
Kaplan Strategies2-0.9
Monmouth University Polling Institute2.9-0.9
Trafalgar Group0.70.6
Change Research1.40.6