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Rhode Island Senate 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

D+24.8

Jack Reed (D) 57.0% vs Raymond McKay (R) 32.1%

5 polls in the average · latest Oct 31, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: most-polled pairing (primary not yet decided) · Avg pollster grade 2.4 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%Jul ’26Aug ’26Sep ’26Oct ’26Nov ’26University of New Hampshire · Oct 27–31, 2026: Reed 63%University of New Hampshire · Oct 27–31, 2026: McKay 32%Embold Research · Oct 5–8, 2026: Reed 55%Embold Research · Oct 5–8, 2026: McKay 32%University of New Hampshire · Sep 17–21, 2026: Reed 53%University of New Hampshire · Sep 17–21, 2026: McKay 33%University of New Hampshire · Aug 20–24, 2026: Reed 51%University of New Hampshire · Aug 20–24, 2026: McKay 31%University of New Hampshire · Jun 18–23, 2026: Reed 52%University of New Hampshire · Jun 18–23, 2026: McKay 34%57.0 — current average32.1 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Jack Reed and Raymond McKay. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleReed %McKay %Margin
University of New Hampshire2.4Oct 27–31, 2026753 LV6332D+31.0↗
Embold Research—Oct 5–8, 2026815 LV5532D+23.0↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Sep 17–21, 2026598 LV5333D+20.0↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Aug 20–24, 2026750 LV5131D+20.0↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Jun 18–23, 2026664 LV5234D+18.0↗

Candidates

Democrats
  • Jack Reed
Republicans
  • Raymond McKay

Party labels curated from public sources.