Minnesota Senate 2026
Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.
Peggy Flanagan (D) 45.3% vs Michele Tafoya (R) 42.6%
4 polls in the average · latest Sep 14, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size
Matchup: most-polled pairing (primary not yet decided) · Avg pollster grade 2.8 / 3.0
Every poll in the average
Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.
Polls in this average
Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Peggy Flanagan and Michele Tafoya. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.
Other 2026 Senate polls in Minnesota
General-election polls for this race that are not in the average — they tested a different matchup than Flanagan vs Tafoya. Shown for transparency; primaries are excluded entirely.
| Pollster | Dates | Top results |
|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Feb 6–8, 2026 | Angie Craig 46.6 · Michele Tafoya 40.2 |
| Public Policy PollingD partisan | Sep 15–16, 2025 | Angie Craig 47 · Rep 43 |
| Public Policy PollingD partisan | Sep 15–16, 2025 | Peggy Flanagan 46 · Rep 44 |
Candidates
- Angie Craig
- Peggy Flanagan
- Michele Tafoya
- Rep
Party labels curated from public sources.