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Oregon Governor 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

D+0.9

Tina Kotek (D) 45.2% vs Christine Drazan (R) 44.2%

4 polls in the average · latest Oct 1, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: verified nominees ✓ · Avg pollster grade 2.1 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

35%40%45%50%Mar ’26May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26DHM Research · Sep 24 – Oct 1, 2026: Kotek 46%DHM Research · Sep 24 – Oct 1, 2026: Drazan 44%DHM Research · Sep 24 – Oct 1, 2026: Kotek 46%DHM Research · Sep 24 – Oct 1, 2026: Drazan 44%DHM Research · Sep 11, 2026: Kotek 43%DHM Research · Sep 11, 2026: Drazan 45%FM3 Research · Jan 26 – Feb 4, 2026: Kotek 45%FM3 Research · Jan 26 – Feb 4, 2026: Drazan 40%45.2 — current average44.2 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Tina Kotek and Christine Drazan. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleKotek %Drazan %Margin
DHM Research2.1Sep 24 – Oct 1, 2026549 LV4644D+2.0↗
DHM Research2.1Sep 24 – Oct 1, 2026549 LV4644D+2.0↗
DHM Research2.1Sep 11, 2026600 LV4345R+2.0↗
FM3 ResearchD partisan0.7Jan 26 – Feb 4, 20261,065 LV4540D+5.0↗

Candidates

Democrats
  • Tina Kotek
Republicans
  • Christine Drazan

Party labels curated from public sources.