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Vermont Governor 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

D+1.4

Amanda Janoo (D) 46.8% vs Phil Scott (R) 45.4%

5 polls in the average · latest Oct 31, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: most-polled pairing (primary not yet decided) · Avg pollster grade 2.4 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

25%30%35%40%45%50%55%Jul ’26Aug ’26Sep ’26Oct ’26Nov ’26University of New Hampshire · Oct 27–31, 2026: Janoo 51%University of New Hampshire · Oct 27–31, 2026: Scott 43%State Navigate · Oct 23–25, 2026: Janoo 46%State Navigate · Oct 23–25, 2026: Scott 49%University of New Hampshire · Sep 17–21, 2026: Janoo 49%University of New Hampshire · Sep 17–21, 2026: Scott 43%University of New Hampshire · Jul 15–20, 2026: Janoo 33%University of New Hampshire · Jul 15–20, 2026: Scott 44%University of New Hampshire · Jun 18–23, 2026: Janoo 27%University of New Hampshire · Jun 18–23, 2026: Scott 42%46.8 — current average45.4 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Amanda Janoo and Phil Scott. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleJanoo %Scott %Margin
University of New Hampshire2.4Oct 27–31, 20261,172 LV5143D+8.0↗
State Navigate—Oct 23–25, 20261,752 LV4649R+3.0↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Sep 17–21, 2026835 LV4943D+6.0↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Jul 15–20, 2026954 LV3344R+11.0↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Jun 18–23, 2026511 LV2742R+15.0↗

Other 2026 Governor polls in Vermont

General-election polls for this race that are not in the average — they tested a different matchup than Janoo vs Scott. Shown for transparency; primaries are excluded entirely.

PollsterDatesTop results
University of New HampshireJul 15–20, 2026Phil Scott 43 · Aly Richards 35 (+2 more)
University of New HampshireJun 18–23, 2026Phil Scott 41 · Ally Richards 25

Candidates

Democrats
  • Ally Richards
  • Aly Richards
  • Amanda Janoo
Republicans
  • Phil Scott
Other
  • June Goodband (G)

Party labels curated from public sources.