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Iowa Senate 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

R+0.1

Ashley Hinson (R) 46.0% vs Josh Turek (D) 45.9%

27 polls in the average · latest Nov 1, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: verified nominees ✓ · Avg pollster grade 2.4 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

35%40%45%50%55%Jan ’26Mar ’26May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26Nov ’26The New York Times/Siena University · Oct 26 – Nov 1, 2026: Turek 48%The New York Times/Siena University · Oct 26 – Nov 1, 2026: Hinson 47%Grayhouse · Oct 28–31, 2026: Turek 46%Grayhouse · Oct 28–31, 2026: Hinson 48%co/efficient · Oct 28, 2026: Turek 46%co/efficient · Oct 28, 2026: Hinson 48%Echelon Insights · Oct 16–23, 2026: Turek 45%Echelon Insights · Oct 16–23, 2026: Hinson 43%InsiderAdvantage · Oct 21–22, 2026: Turek 45%InsiderAdvantage · Oct 21–22, 2026: Hinson 47%co/efficient · Oct 15–19, 2026: Turek 45%co/efficient · Oct 15–19, 2026: Hinson 48%New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group · Oct 9–13, 2026: Turek 46%New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group · Oct 9–13, 2026: Hinson 44%National Public Affairs · Oct 8–12, 2026: Turek 44%National Public Affairs · Oct 8–12, 2026: Hinson 47%YouGov · Oct 6–12, 2026: Turek 47%YouGov · Oct 6–12, 2026: Hinson 46%Marist University · Oct 8–11, 2026: Turek 48%Marist University · Oct 8–11, 2026: Hinson 45%Emerson College · Oct 5–6, 2026: Turek 45%Emerson College · Oct 5–6, 2026: Hinson 46.6%CNN/SSRS · Sep 29 – Oct 5, 2026: Turek 43%CNN/SSRS · Sep 29 – Oct 5, 2026: Hinson 45%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Sep 24–28, 2026: Turek 49%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Sep 24–28, 2026: Hinson 47%Marist University · Sep 17–20, 2026: Turek 50%Marist University · Sep 17–20, 2026: Hinson 42%co/efficient · Sep 14–16, 2026: Turek 42%co/efficient · Sep 14–16, 2026: Hinson 46%YouGov · Sep 3–8, 2026: Turek 44%YouGov · Sep 3–8, 2026: Hinson 43%YouGov · Sep 3–8, 2026: Turek 47%YouGov · Sep 3–8, 2026: Hinson 43%Emerson College · Aug 31 – Sep 1, 2026: Turek 45%Emerson College · Aug 31 – Sep 1, 2026: Hinson 50%Suffolk University · Aug 20–23, 2026: Turek 40.8%Suffolk University · Aug 20–23, 2026: Hinson 45.4%Emerson College · Aug 2–4, 2026: Turek 45%Emerson College · Aug 2–4, 2026: Hinson 48%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Jun 23–27, 2026: Turek 50%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Jun 23–27, 2026: Hinson 46%The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 15–27, 2026: Turek 46%The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 15–27, 2026: Hinson 48%Cygnal · Jun 16–19, 2026: Turek 44.2%Cygnal · Jun 16–19, 2026: Hinson 46%Public Policy Polling · Jun 3–4, 2026: Turek 46%Public Policy Polling · Jun 3–4, 2026: Hinson 46%Echelon Insights · Apr 3–9, 2026: Turek 46%Echelon Insights · Apr 3–9, 2026: Hinson 45%GBAO · Mar 10–16, 2026: Turek 43%GBAO · Mar 10–16, 2026: Hinson 47%Change Research · Jan 8–11, 2026: Turek 41%Change Research · Jan 8–11, 2026: Hinson 44%46.0 — current average45.9 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Josh Turek and Ashley Hinson. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleTurek %Hinson %Margin
The New York Times/Siena University3.0Oct 26 – Nov 1, 2026705 LV4847D+1.0↗
Grayhouse—Oct 28–31, 2026601 LV4648R+2.0↗
co/efficientR partisan1.1Oct 28, 20261,020 LV4648R+2.0↗
Echelon Insights2.7Oct 16–23, 2026403 LV4543D+2.0↗
InsiderAdvantage2.0Oct 21–22, 20261,200 LV4547R+2.0↗
co/efficientR partisan1.1Oct 15–19, 2026863 LV4548R+3.0↗
New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group—Oct 9–13, 2026602 LV4644D+2.0↗
National Public Affairs—Oct 8–12, 2026678 LV4447R+3.0↗
YouGov3.0Oct 6–12, 20262,245 LV4746D+1.0↗
Marist University—Oct 8–11, 20261,100 LV4845D+3.0↗
Emerson College2.9Oct 5–6, 2026650 LV4546.6R+1.6↗
CNN/SSRS—Sep 29 – Oct 5, 2026801 LV4345R+2.0↗
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2.8Sep 24–28, 20261,008 LV4947D+2.0↗
Marist University—Sep 17–20, 20261,050 RV5042D+8.0↗
co/efficientR partisan1.1Sep 14–16, 2026831 LV4246R+4.0↗
YouGov3.0Sep 3–8, 20262,166 RV4443D+1.0↗
YouGov3.0Sep 3–8, 20262,041 LV4743D+4.0↗
Emerson College2.9Aug 31 – Sep 1, 2026750 LV4550R+5.0↗
Suffolk University2.9Aug 20–23, 2026500 LV40.845.4R+4.6↗
Emerson College2.9Aug 2–4, 2026712 LV4548R+3.0↗
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2.8Jun 23–27, 20261,003 RV5046D+4.0↗
The New York Times/Siena University3.0Jun 15–27, 2026600 LV4648R+2.0↗
CygnalR partisan2.1Jun 16–19, 2026600 LV44.246R+1.8↗
Public Policy PollingD partisan1.4Jun 3–4, 2026557 RV4646Even↗
Echelon Insights2.7Apr 3–9, 2026377 LV4645D+1.0↗
GBAOD partisan1.2Mar 10–16, 20261,200 LV4347R+4.0↗
Change Research1.4Jan 8–11, 20261,108 LV4144R+3.0↗

Other 2026 Senate polls in Iowa

General-election polls for this race that are not in the average — they tested a different matchup than Turek vs Hinson. Shown for transparency; primaries are excluded entirely.

PollsterDatesTop results
Echelon InsightsApr 3–9, 2026Zach Wahls 46 · Ashley Hinson 44
GBAOD partisanMar 10–16, 2026Ashley Hinson 47 · Zach Wahls 44
Change ResearchJan 8–11, 2026Ashley Hinson 44 · Zach Wahls 41

Candidates

Democrats
  • Josh Turek
  • Zach Wahls
Republicans
  • Ashley Hinson

Party labels curated from public sources.