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Iowa Senate 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

R+0.7

Ashley Hinson (R) 45.4% vs Josh Turek (D) 44.7%

13 polls in the average · latest Sep 16, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: verified nominees ✓ · Avg pollster grade 2.6 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

35%40%45%50%55%Jan ’26Mar ’26May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26co/efficient · Sep 14–16, 2026: Turek 42%co/efficient · Sep 14–16, 2026: Hinson 46%YouGov · Sep 3–8, 2026: Turek 44%YouGov · Sep 3–8, 2026: Hinson 43%YouGov · Sep 3–8, 2026: Turek 47%YouGov · Sep 3–8, 2026: Hinson 43%Emerson College · Aug 31 – Sep 1, 2026: Turek 45%Emerson College · Aug 31 – Sep 1, 2026: Hinson 50%Suffolk University · Aug 20–23, 2026: Turek 40.8%Suffolk University · Aug 20–23, 2026: Hinson 45.4%Emerson College · Aug 2–4, 2026: Turek 45%Emerson College · Aug 2–4, 2026: Hinson 48%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Jun 23–27, 2026: Turek 50%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Jun 23–27, 2026: Hinson 46%The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 15–27, 2026: Turek 46%The New York Times/Siena University · Jun 15–27, 2026: Hinson 48%Cygnal · Jun 16–19, 2026: Turek 44.2%Cygnal · Jun 16–19, 2026: Hinson 46%Public Policy Polling · Jun 3–4, 2026: Turek 46%Public Policy Polling · Jun 3–4, 2026: Hinson 46%Echelon Insights · Apr 3–9, 2026: Turek 46%Echelon Insights · Apr 3–9, 2026: Hinson 45%GBAO · Mar 10–16, 2026: Turek 43%GBAO · Mar 10–16, 2026: Hinson 47%Change Research · Jan 8–11, 2026: Turek 41%Change Research · Jan 8–11, 2026: Hinson 44%45.4 — current average44.7 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Josh Turek and Ashley Hinson. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleTurek %Hinson %Margin
co/efficientR partisan1.1Sep 14–16, 2026831 LV4246R+4.0
YouGov3.0Sep 3–8, 20262,166 RV4443D+1.0
YouGov3.0Sep 3–8, 20262,041 LV4743D+4.0
Emerson College2.9Aug 31 – Sep 1, 2026750 LV4550R+5.0
Suffolk University2.9Aug 20–23, 2026500 LV40.845.4R+4.6
Emerson College2.9Aug 2–4, 2026712 LV4548R+3.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2.8Jun 23–27, 20261,003 RV5046D+4.0
The New York Times/Siena University3.0Jun 15–27, 2026600 LV4648R+2.0
CygnalR partisan2.1Jun 16–19, 2026600 LV44.246R+1.8
Public Policy PollingD partisan1.4Jun 3–4, 2026557 RV4646Even
Echelon Insights2.7Apr 3–9, 2026377 LV4645D+1.0
GBAOD partisan1.2Mar 10–16, 20261,200 LV4347R+4.0
Change Research1.4Jan 8–11, 20261,108 LV4144R+3.0

Other 2026 Senate polls in Iowa

General-election polls for this race that are not in the average — they tested a different matchup than Turek vs Hinson. Shown for transparency; primaries are excluded entirely.

PollsterDatesTop results
Echelon InsightsApr 3–9, 2026Zach Wahls 46 · Ashley Hinson 44
GBAOD partisanMar 10–16, 2026Ashley Hinson 47 · Zach Wahls 44
Change ResearchJan 8–11, 2026Ashley Hinson 44 · Zach Wahls 41

Candidates

Democrats
  • Josh Turek
  • Zach Wahls
Republicans
  • Ashley Hinson

Party labels curated from public sources.