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Wisconsin Governor 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

D+3.2

David Crowley (D) 47.1% vs Tom Tiffany (R) 44.0%

12 polls in the average · latest Oct 23, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: most-polled pairing (primary not yet decided) · Avg pollster grade 2.1 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

35%40%45%50%55%May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26Nov ’26Wick · Oct 19–23, 2026: Crowley 48%Wick · Oct 19–23, 2026: Tiffany 45%Z to A Research · Sep 28 – Oct 1, 2026: Crowley 49%Z to A Research · Sep 28 – Oct 1, 2026: Tiffany 44%Marquette University Law School · Sep 16–23, 2026: Crowley 49%Marquette University Law School · Sep 16–23, 2026: Tiffany 46%Marquette University Law School · Aug 12–20, 2026: Crowley 44%Marquette University Law School · Aug 12–20, 2026: Tiffany 44%Marquette University Law School · Aug 12–20, 2026: Crowley 49%Marquette University Law School · Aug 12–20, 2026: Tiffany 44%TIPP Insights · Aug 14–18, 2026: Crowley 47%TIPP Insights · Aug 14–18, 2026: Tiffany 43%TIPP Insights · Aug 14–18, 2026: Crowley 43%TIPP Insights · Aug 14–18, 2026: Tiffany 41%Platform Communications · Aug 12–13, 2026: Crowley 48%Platform Communications · Aug 12–13, 2026: Tiffany 44%GBAO Strategies · Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2026: Crowley 47%GBAO Strategies · Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2026: Tiffany 44%RMG Research · Jul 20–24, 2026: Crowley 46%RMG Research · Jul 20–24, 2026: Tiffany 43%TIPP Insights · Mar 13–19, 2026: Crowley 39%TIPP Insights · Mar 13–19, 2026: Tiffany 38%TIPP Insights · Mar 13–19, 2026: Crowley 42%TIPP Insights · Mar 13–19, 2026: Tiffany 41%47.1 — current average44.0 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both David Crowley and Tom Tiffany. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleCrowley %Tiffany %Margin
WickR partisan1.4Oct 19–23, 20261,213 LV4845D+3.0↗
Z to A ResearchD partisan—Sep 28 – Oct 1, 2026662 LV4944D+5.0↗
Marquette University Law School3.0Sep 16–23, 2026692 LV4946D+3.0↗
Marquette University Law School3.0Aug 12–20, 2026891 RV4444Even↗
Marquette University Law School3.0Aug 12–20, 2026738 LV4944D+5.0↗
TIPP InsightsR partisan1.8Aug 14–18, 20261,119 LV4743D+4.0↗
TIPP InsightsR partisan1.8Aug 14–18, 20261,434 RV4341D+2.0↗
Platform Communications—Aug 12–13, 2026500 LV4844D+4.0↗
GBAO StrategiesD partisan—Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2026800 LV4744D+3.0↗
RMG Research2.3Jul 20–24, 2026800 RV4643D+3.0↗
TIPP InsightsR partisan1.8Mar 13–19, 20261,495 RV3938D+1.0↗
TIPP InsightsR partisan1.8Mar 13–19, 20261,175 LV4241D+1.0↗

Other 2026 Governor polls in Wisconsin

General-election polls for this race that are not in the average — they tested a different matchup than Crowley vs Tiffany. Shown for transparency; primaries are excluded entirely.

PollsterDatesTop results
RMG ResearchJul 20–24, 2026Francesca Hong 44 · Tom Tiffany 43
RMG ResearchJul 20–24, 2026Mandela Barnes 47 · Tom Tiffany 43
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8–16, 2026Mandela Barnes 47 · Tom Tiffany 42
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8–16, 2026Francesca Hong 44 · Tom Tiffany 44
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8–16, 2026Tom Tiffany 44 · Kelda Roys 42
The Public Sentiment InstituteR partisanMay 13–15, 2026Tom Tiffany 36 · Francesca Hong 35
The Public Sentiment InstituteR partisanMay 13–15, 2026Mandela Barnes 39 · Tom Tiffany 37
The Public Sentiment InstituteR partisanMay 13–15, 2026Francesca Hong 41 · Tom Tiffany 40
The Public Sentiment InstituteR partisanMay 13–15, 2026Mandela Barnes 45 · Tom Tiffany 41
TIPP InsightsR partisanMar 13–19, 2026Mandela Barnes 43 · Tom Tiffany 41
TIPP InsightsR partisanMar 13–19, 2026Mandela Barnes 40 · Tom Tiffany 38
TIPP InsightsR partisanMar 13–19, 2026Tom Tiffany 43 · Francesca Hong 40
TIPP InsightsR partisanMar 13–19, 2026Tom Tiffany 40 · Francesca Hong 37
TIPP InsightsR partisanMar 13–19, 2026Sara Rodriguez 44 · Tom Tiffany 41
TIPP InsightsR partisanMar 13–19, 2026Sara Rodriguez 40 · Tom Tiffany 39
Patriot PollingR partisanMar 10–16, 2026Tom Tiffany 46 · Francesca Hong 42
Impact ResearchOct 2–8, 2025Mandela Barnes 50 · Tom Tiffany 44

Candidates

Democrats
  • David Crowley
  • Francesca Hong
  • Kelda Roys
  • Mandela Barnes
Republicans
  • Tom Tiffany

Party labels curated from public sources.