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South Carolina Governor 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

R+11.3

Alan Wilson (R) 51.0% vs Jermaine Johnson (D) 39.7%

4 polls in the average · latest Oct 30, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: verified nominees ✓ · Avg pollster grade 1.3 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

30%35%40%45%50%55%Aug ’26Sep ’26Oct ’26Nov ’26Resonance Media Services · Oct 30, 2026: Johnson 42.3%Resonance Media Services · Oct 30, 2026: Wilson 50.6%Targoz Market Research · Oct 16–25, 2026: Johnson 41%Targoz Market Research · Oct 16–25, 2026: Wilson 51%Trafalgar Group · Oct 16–18, 2026: Johnson 36.5%Trafalgar Group · Oct 16–18, 2026: Wilson 52.5%Public Policy Polling · Jul 16–17, 2026: Johnson 37%Public Policy Polling · Jul 16–17, 2026: Wilson 45%51.0 — current average39.7 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Jermaine Johnson and Alan Wilson. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleJohnson %Wilson %Margin
Resonance Media Services—Oct 30, 2026600 LV42.350.6R+8.3↗
Targoz Market Research1.8Oct 16–25, 2026895 LV4151R+10.0↗
Trafalgar GroupR partisan0.7Oct 16–18, 20261,095 LV36.552.5R+16.0↗
Public Policy PollingD partisan1.4Jul 16–17, 2026577 LV3745R+8.0↗

Candidates

Democrats
  • Jermaine Johnson
Republicans
  • Alan Wilson

Party labels curated from public sources.