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Michigan Governor 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

D+8.2

Jocelyn Benson (D) 50.5% vs John James (R) 42.3%

27 polls in the average · latest Nov 1, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: verified nominees ✓ · Avg pollster grade 2.6 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

30%35%40%45%50%55%60%Jun ’26Jul ’26Aug ’26Sep ’26Oct ’26Nov ’26The New York Times/Siena University · Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2026: Benson 52%The New York Times/Siena University · Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2026: James 39%YouGov · Oct 26–29, 2026: Benson 52%YouGov · Oct 26–29, 2026: James 46%CNN/SSRS · Oct 20–27, 2026: Benson 53%CNN/SSRS · Oct 20–27, 2026: James 41%Guidant Polling and Strategy · Sep 20 – Oct 27, 2026: Benson 50%Guidant Polling and Strategy · Sep 20 – Oct 27, 2026: James 45%Mitchell Research & Communications · Oct 26–27, 2026: Benson 49%Mitchell Research & Communications · Oct 26–27, 2026: James 44%Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Oct 8–23, 2026: Benson 50.9%Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Oct 8–23, 2026: James 41.5%Glengariff Group, Inc. · Oct 19–22, 2026: Benson 51.4%Glengariff Group, Inc. · Oct 19–22, 2026: James 44.5%Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Oct 2–19, 2026: Benson 53.3%Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Oct 2–19, 2026: James 40.9%Marist University · Oct 15–18, 2026: Benson 51%Marist University · Oct 15–18, 2026: James 45%Z to A Research · Sep 28 – Oct 1, 2026: Benson 50%Z to A Research · Sep 28 – Oct 1, 2026: James 40%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Sep 24–28, 2026: Benson 54%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Sep 24–28, 2026: James 45%co/efficient · Sep 21–23, 2026: Benson 47%co/efficient · Sep 21–23, 2026: James 44%The New York Times/Siena University · Sep 15–22, 2026: Benson 48%The New York Times/Siena University · Sep 15–22, 2026: James 43%Cygnal/Beacon Research · Sep 18–21, 2026: Benson 45%Cygnal/Beacon Research · Sep 18–21, 2026: James 38%Suffolk University · Sep 16–20, 2026: Benson 51%Suffolk University · Sep 16–20, 2026: James 34%Emerson College · Sep 12–14, 2026: Benson 48.6%Emerson College · Sep 12–14, 2026: James 41.9%The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government · Sep 10–14, 2026: Benson 53%The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government · Sep 10–14, 2026: James 41%EPIC-MRA · Aug 22–28, 2026: Benson 45%EPIC-MRA · Aug 22–28, 2026: James 41%Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Aug 10–20, 2026: Benson 52%Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Aug 10–20, 2026: James 43%Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Aug 10–20, 2026: Benson 49%Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov · Aug 10–20, 2026: James 39%Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research · Aug 9–11, 2026: Benson 49%Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research · Aug 9–11, 2026: James 44%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Aug 6–10, 2026: Benson 52%Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Aug 6–10, 2026: James 47%EPIC-MRA · Jul 24–31, 2026: Benson 47%EPIC-MRA · Jul 24–31, 2026: James 38%Mitchell Research & Communications · Jul 28–29, 2026: Benson 46%Mitchell Research & Communications · Jul 28–29, 2026: James 44%Glengariff Group, Inc. · Jul 22–24, 2026: Benson 43.7%Glengariff Group, Inc. · Jul 22–24, 2026: James 38.7%TIPP Insights · May 20–23, 2026: Benson 46%TIPP Insights · May 20–23, 2026: James 35%TIPP Insights · May 20–23, 2026: Benson 49%TIPP Insights · May 20–23, 2026: James 38%50.5 — current average42.3 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Jocelyn Benson and John James. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleBenson %James %Margin
The New York Times/Siena University3.0Oct 23 – Nov 1, 20261,011 LV5239D+13.0↗
YouGov3.0Oct 26–29, 20262,093 LV5246D+6.0↗
CNN/SSRS—Oct 20–27, 2026768 LV5341D+12.0↗
Guidant Polling and Strategy—Sep 20 – Oct 27, 2026800 LV5045D+5.0↗
Mitchell Research & Communications2.4Oct 26–27, 2026636 LV4944D+5.0↗
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov—Oct 8–23, 20261,383 LV50.941.5D+9.4↗
Glengariff Group, Inc.—Oct 19–22, 2026600 LV51.444.5D+6.9↗
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov—Oct 2–19, 2026836 LV53.340.9D+12.4↗
Marist University—Oct 15–18, 2026—5145D+6.0↗
Z to A ResearchD partisan—Sep 28 – Oct 1, 2026483 LV5040D+10.0↗
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2.8Sep 24–28, 20261,028 LV5445D+9.0↗
co/efficient1.1Sep 21–23, 2026843 LV4744D+3.0↗
The New York Times/Siena University3.0Sep 15–22, 2026605 LV4843D+5.0↗
Cygnal/Beacon Research—Sep 18–21, 2026600 LV4538D+7.0↗
Suffolk University2.9Sep 16–20, 2026500 LV5134D+17.0↗
Emerson College2.9Sep 12–14, 20261,000 LV48.641.9D+6.7↗
The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government2.7Sep 10–14, 2026803 LV5341D+12.0↗
EPIC-MRA1.9Aug 22–28, 2026600 LV4541D+4.0↗
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov—Aug 10–20, 2026779 LV5243D+9.0↗
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov—Aug 10–20, 2026913 RV4939D+10.0↗
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research1.7Aug 9–11, 2026877 LV4944D+5.0↗
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2.8Aug 6–10, 20261,006 RV5247D+5.0↗
EPIC-MRA1.9Jul 24–31, 2026600 LV4738D+9.0
Mitchell Research & Communications2.4Jul 28–29, 2026672 LV4644D+2.0↗
Glengariff Group, Inc.—Jul 22–24, 2026600 LV43.738.7D+5.0↗
TIPP InsightsR partisan1.8May 20–23, 20261,456 RV4635D+11.0↗
TIPP Insights1.8May 20–23, 20261,163 LV4938D+11.0↗

Other 2026 Governor polls in Michigan

General-election polls for this race that are not in the average — they tested a different matchup than Benson vs James. Shown for transparency; primaries are excluded entirely.

PollsterDatesTop results
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28–29, 2026Jocelyn Benson 48 · Perry Johnson 43
Glengariff Group, Inc.Jul 22–24, 2026Jocelyn Benson 47.7 · Perry Johnson 37.4

Candidates

Democrats
  • Jocelyn Benson
Republicans
  • John James
  • Perry Johnson

Party labels curated from public sources.