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Illinois Governor 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

D+18.6

JB Pritzker (D) 56.5% vs Darren Bailey (R) 37.9%

3 polls in the average · latest Oct 22, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: verified nominees ✓ · Avg pollster grade 1.4 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%Jan ’26Mar ’26May ’26Jul ’26Sep ’26Nov ’26ActiVote · Oct 2–22, 2026: Pritzker 58.7%ActiVote · Oct 2–22, 2026: Bailey 41.3%Public Policy Polling · Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2026: Pritzker 54%Public Policy Polling · Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2026: Bailey 34%Victory Research · Nov 20–24, 2025: Pritzker 54%Victory Research · Nov 20–24, 2025: Bailey 34%56.5 — current average37.9 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both JB Pritzker and Darren Bailey. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSamplePritzker %Bailey %Margin
ActiVote—Oct 2–22, 2026400 LV58.741.3D+17.4↗
Public Policy PollingD partisan1.4Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2026569 LV5434D+20.0↗
Victory Research1.8Nov 20–24, 20251,208 LV5434D+20.0↗

Candidates

Democrats
  • JB Pritzker
Republicans
  • Darren Bailey

Party labels curated from public sources.