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Connecticut Governor 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

D+17.7

Ned Lamont (D) 54.5% vs Ryan Fazio (R) 36.7%

9 polls in the average · latest Oct 31, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: most-polled pairing (primary not yet decided) · Avg pollster grade 2.5 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%Jul ’26Aug ’26Sep ’26Oct ’26Nov ’26University of New Hampshire · Oct 27–31, 2026: Lamont 54%University of New Hampshire · Oct 27–31, 2026: Fazio 41%Emerson College · Oct 10–12, 2026: Lamont 51.4%Emerson College · Oct 10–12, 2026: Fazio 37.8%GreatBlue Research · Oct 6–12, 2026: Lamont 56%GreatBlue Research · Oct 6–12, 2026: Fazio 33%Quinnipiac University · Oct 8–12, 2026: Lamont 58%Quinnipiac University · Oct 8–12, 2026: Fazio 38%Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov · Sep 22 – Oct 7, 2026: Lamont 57%Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov · Sep 22 – Oct 7, 2026: Fazio 34%University of New Hampshire · Sep 17–21, 2026: Lamont 55%University of New Hampshire · Sep 17–21, 2026: Fazio 38%University of New Hampshire · Aug 20–24, 2026: Lamont 52%University of New Hampshire · Aug 20–24, 2026: Fazio 37%GreatBlue Research · Jul 21–26, 2026: Lamont 49.7%GreatBlue Research · Jul 21–26, 2026: Fazio 29.5%University of New Hampshire · Jun 18–23, 2026: Lamont 49%University of New Hampshire · Jun 18–23, 2026: Fazio 36%54.5 — current average36.7 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Ned Lamont and Ryan Fazio. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleLamont %Fazio %Margin
University of New Hampshire2.4Oct 27–31, 2026811 LV5441D+13.0↗
Emerson College2.9Oct 10–12, 2026800 LV51.437.8D+13.6↗
GreatBlue Research2.0Oct 6–12, 20261,000 RV5633D+23.0↗
Quinnipiac University2.8Oct 8–12, 2026702 LV5838D+20.0↗
Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov—Sep 22 – Oct 7, 2026—5734D+23.0↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Sep 17–21, 2026540 LV5538D+17.0↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Aug 20–24, 2026809 LV5237D+15.0↗
GreatBlue Research2.0Jul 21–26, 20261,000 RV49.729.5D+20.2↗
University of New Hampshire2.4Jun 18–23, 2026828 LV4936D+13.0↗

Candidates

Democrats
  • Ned Lamont
Republicans
  • Ryan Fazio

Party labels curated from public sources.