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Alaska Governor 2026

Polling average and every underlying poll — published numbers come only from the precomputed race_averages table.

D+7.8

Tom Begich (D) 49.0% vs Bernadette Wilson (R) 41.2%

5 polls in the average · latest Jul 1, 2026 · weighted by recency (45-day half-life) and sample size

Matchup: most-polled pairing (primary not yet decided) · Avg pollster grade 1.9 / 3.0

Every poll in the average

Each poll appears as two dots at its end date. Dashed lines mark the current published average — no trend line is drawn, by design.

20%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%May ’26Jun ’26Jul ’26Alaska Survey Research · Jun 30 – Jul 1, 2026: Begich 50.9%Alaska Survey Research · Jun 30 – Jul 1, 2026: Wilson 49.1%Alaska Survey Research · Apr 16–19, 2026: Begich 44%Alaska Survey Research · Apr 16–19, 2026: Wilson 31%Alaska Survey Research · Apr 16–19, 2026: Begich 54%Alaska Survey Research · Apr 16–19, 2026: Wilson 46%Alaska Survey Research · Apr 16–19, 2026: Begich 41%Alaska Survey Research · Apr 16–19, 2026: Wilson 22%Alaska Survey Research · Apr 16–19, 2026: Begich 53.9%Alaska Survey Research · Apr 16–19, 2026: Wilson 46.1%49.0 — current average41.2 — current average

Polls in this average

Selection matches refresh_race_averages(): general-election polls of this race that tested both Tom Begich and Bernadette Wilson. Partisan and internal polls are included in the average (flagged below), matching the published methodology.

PollsterGradeDatesSampleBegich %Wilson %Margin
Alaska Survey Research1.9Jun 30 – Jul 1, 20261,528 RV50.949.1D+1.8↗
Alaska Survey Research1.9Apr 16–19, 20261,923 LV4431D+13.0↗
Alaska Survey Research1.9Apr 16–19, 20261,923 LV5446D+8.0↗
Alaska Survey Research1.9Apr 16–19, 20261,923 LV4122D+19.0↗
Alaska Survey Research1.9Apr 16–19, 2026—53.946.1D+7.8↗

Other 2026 Governor polls in Alaska

General-election polls for this race that are not in the average — they tested a different matchup than Begich vs Wilson. Shown for transparency; primaries are excluded entirely.

PollsterDatesTop results
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 23–30, 2026Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 54 · Bernadette Wilson 46
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 23–25, 2026Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53.4 · Bernadette Wilson 46.6
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 15–18, 2026Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 55 · Bernadette Wilson 45
Data for ProgressOct 8–16, 2026Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53 · Bernadette Wilson 47
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 24 – Oct 1, 2026Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 52 · Bernadette Wilson 48
CygnalR partisanSep 24–27, 2026Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 44 · Bernadette Wilson 24 (+2 more)
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchSep 8–11, 2026Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 55 · Bernadette Wilson 45

Candidates

Democrats
  • Tom Begich
Republicans
  • Bernadette Wilson
  • Click Bishop
  • Dave Bronson

Party labels curated from public sources.